Follow Up On Iceland Outbreak
The massive outbreak of infectious upper respiratory tract disease that hit Iceland four months ago is finally slowing down, and there is now a little more information available about what they've been seeing and what authorities believe has been going on.
There is a fairly clear description of the clinical signs seen in affected horses (as previously described), although signs vary from horse to horse. Typically illness begins with a serous (clear) nasal discharge which then becomes mucopurulent (snotty). There is sometimes mild conjunctivitis (e.g. red puffy eyes) and most commonly a dry cough. Horses that are examined using endoscopy show signs of laryngitis. Signs generally last 4-6 weeks, but this can vary.
There's also more information about the epidemiology of the disease (i.e. the pattern of spread). Morbidity seems to be close to 100%, meaning almost every horse that is exposed gets sick. Fortunately no mortality has been associated with the disease, meaning all the horses eventually recover. The incubation period (the time from exposure to illness) is 1-4 weeks. It seems to be spread mostly by direct contact, but indirect transmission is also possible, as even free-roaming herds with little contact with other horses or people have been affected. Horses are not completely immune after recovering (meaning they can get sick again if they are re-exposed), but there is evidence that the "herd immunity" of the horse population in Iceland is increasing, and the outbreak seems to be dissipating. It is still lingering in some horse groups where there are naive (unexposed) horses coming into contact with infected horses.
The way this disease has spread is very typical of a virus burning through a naive population which has never been previously exposed to or vaccinated against the disease. Even the clinical signs are very typical of an upper respiratory virus. However, extensive testing has been done using both PCR and antibody titres for a multitude of viruses including (but not limited to): equine herpesviruses 1, 2, 4 and 5, equine arteritis virus, equine influenza virus, equine reoviruses, and equine rhinitis viruses. None of these viruses appear to be the culprit, despite early suspicions that the cause was in fact equine herpesvirus. They are still testing for new/unknown viruses using viral culture, but this is a difficult and very time-consuming task.
What authorities have been able to find in affected horses is Streptococcus equi subsp. zooepidemicus, which is what is currently being blamed for the outbreak. They say it has been cultured from almost all coughing horses and all horses with mucopurulent nasal discharge. But that's not really surprising, as S. zooepidemicus is a very common commensal bacterium that is even carried by healthy horses in their upper respiratory tracts. It's also a very common opportunistic pathogen in horses, meaning when the animal gets sick for another reason (for example, if a horse is infected with a respiratory virus), then S. zooepidemicus moves in and causes a secondary bacterial infection, which can make the clinical signs worse or last longer, and may lead to other complications. In this case they are trying to make S. zooepidemicus out to be the primary pathogen, but it would have to be a very unusual strain of the bacterium - very virulent, highly infectious and totally novel to the horse population in Iceland - to cause an outbreak of this scale. They are doing additional testing to characterize the strain they have isolated from infected horses and to compare it to other strains previously isolated from horses in Iceland.
The good news is that after the horse industry in Iceland was paralyzed by this outbreak for almost four months, equestrian activities are now resuming under the supervision of the Icelandic Food and Veterinary Authority. That shouldn't pose a problem to the Icelandic horses, as there are very few naive horses left in the country that would still be highly susceptible to this still somewhat mysterious disease. However, export of horses from Iceland is slated to recommence on September 15. There are still quarantine requirements preceding export (horses must not be sick nor be in contact with a sick horse for 30-60 days prior, depending on what country they're going to), which always are and will remain very important for infectious disease control. However, with the cause of the outbreak still being somewhat unclear, it is unknown if any horses may now be healthy carriers of the outbreak pathogen, be it an unusual strain of S. zooepidemicus or an unidentified virus. If horses in other countries start getting sick a few weeks after exposure to exported Icelandic horses, strict control measures will have to be rapidly implemented to possibly prevent similar outbreaks from developing.
Photo credit: David Blaikie (source: http://commons.wikimedia.org)
Despite initial declarations that known common causes had been ruled out, the investigation into the 


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Respiratory tract disease is a very common problem in horses that has a wide range of causes, including bacterial and viral infections, as well as non-infectious conditions. Nasal discharge (i.e. a "snotty nose") is often one of the first signs of respiratory disease noticed by owners. Unfortunately, the nasal discharge itself cannot tell you what the problem is, nor how to deal with it. If your horse develops nasal discharge, you should contact your veterinarian to determine the best approach to diagnose the cause and the best way to treat the animal. Here are just a few of the factors that need to be considered:
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The described clinical signs in affected horses are very non-specific, so it's hard to speculate about the causative pathogen. There are a variety of potential culprits, including equine influenza virus (EIV), but so far testing has not detected EIV or any other known pathogens. This "mystery" disease does not appear to affect other animals or people (but without knowing what is causing it, this is difficult to say for certain). It is possible that this is a "new" disease, but the vast majority of infectious disease outbreaks are caused by pathogens that we already know about. Specialists from Britain have been called in to help with the investigation. Hopefully more information will be available soon.
